Economy
CBN Shake-Up Sparks Market Calm As Naira Nears Uniform Exchange Rate.
According to Nivo News, the Naira held steady against the United States Dollar on Wednesday, December 10, 2025, following the Central Bank of Nigeria’s recent sweeping reforms within the Bureau de Change (BDC) sector. Latest figures from the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) revealed that the local currency traded at ₦1,452.16 to the Dollar at the official market window, slightly weakening from the opening rate of ₦1,451.30—a marginal change of less than 0.1%.....KINDLY READ THE FULL STORY HERE▶
Analysts noted that the relative consistency witnessed in recent days suggests improving liquidity and reduced volatility across the foreign exchange landscape. The official trading window, supervised by the CBN, recorded movements between ₦1,450.25 and ₦1,457.00 this week, with Monday closing at ₦1,454.00, underscoring the calmer market environment compared to previous quarters.
At the parallel market, commonly referred to as the black market, the currency exchanged between ₦1,460 and ₦1,478 per Dollar, depending on transaction size and location. The gap between official and unofficial market rates has now narrowed to less than ₦30, a trend many experts link to the apex bank’s aggressive restructuring measures.
The CBN recently completed what it described as a comprehensive market reset, giving final approvals to only 82 BDC operators under a tightened regulatory system. More than 4,000 operators lost their licenses for failing to meet new compliance standards. Under the revised structure, BDCs are now classified into Tier 1—with a minimum capital requirement of ₦2 billion—and Tier 2, which requires at least ₦500 million. The central bank said the reform aims to sanitise the sector and phase out previously dominant briefcase operators who contributed to rate distortions.
According to Nivo News, market observers believe that although the Naira has not seen significant appreciation, the reduced fluctuations provide relief for importers and businesses planning for 2026. Traders predict the currency may remain between ₦1,450 and ₦1,480 throughout the week, barring unexpected developments from global oil prices or shifts in Nigeria’s external reserves.
With the new year approaching, stakeholders are closely monitoring how the market will adjust to the full effects of the CBN’s BDC overhaul and the broader economic pressures shaping Nigeria’s financial outlook.
Economy
World Bank Upgrades Nigeria Growth Forecast As Reforms Boost Investor Confidence.
According to Nivo News, the World Bank has projected that Nigeria’s economy will grow by 4.4 percent in 2026 and 2027, driven by new tax legislation, prudent monetary policies, and ongoing economic reforms. The announcement was made in the bank’s January 2026 Global Economic Prospects report, which described the anticipated growth rate as the fastest for Nigeria in over a decade.....KINDLY READ THE FULL STORY HERE▶
This latest projection represents an upgrade from the World Bank’s previous forecast of 3.7 percent published in June 2025. The bank highlighted that reforms in the tax system, combined with continued monetary prudence, are expected to stimulate economic activity, improve investor confidence, and reduce inflation. It also noted that increased oil production is likely to offset lower global oil prices, boosting fiscal revenue and strengthening Nigeria’s external balance.
The projection comes against the backdrop of Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of 3.98 percent year-on-year in real terms during the third quarter of 2025, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics.
Economy
Nigeria’s Inflation Eases Sharply To 14.45% As Consumer Prices Stabilize.
Nigeria’s headline inflation rate eased to 14.45 per cent year on year in November 2025, according to the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). The report showed that while consumer prices continued to rise on a monthly basis, annual inflation moderated significantly under the revised base year.....KINDLY READ THE FULL STORY HERE▶
The CPI increased to 130.5 points in November from 128.9 points in October, marking a 1.6-point month-on-month rise. Despite this, the headline inflation rate declined from 16.05 per cent recorded in October. The NBS highlighted that the November 2025 figure represents a 1.6 percentage point decrease compared with the previous month.
Monthly inflation, however, rose to 1.22 per cent in November from 0.93 per cent in October, indicating that average prices increased at a faster pace during the month despite the moderation in annual inflation. Headline inflation for November 2025 was 20.15 percentage points lower than the 34.60 per cent recorded in November 2024, reflecting the impact of the rebasing exercise that reset the base year to 2024 from 2009.
Over the twelve months ending November 2025, the average CPI increased by 20.41 per cent, down sharply from 32.77 per cent in the corresponding period of 2024. Food and non-alcoholic beverages remained the largest contributor to annual headline inflation at 5.78 percentage points, followed by restaurants and accommodation services at 1.87 percentage points, and transport at 1.54 percentage points. Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels added 1.22 percentage points, while education and health contributed 0.90 and 0.88 percentage points, respectively. On a month-on-month basis, food and non-alcoholic beverages drove price increases with a contribution of 0.49 percentage points.
Urban inflation declined sharply to 13.61 per cent year on year in November, down 23.49 percentage points from November 2024, while rural inflation remained higher at 15.15 per cent but fell 17.12 percentage points from the previous year. Month-on-month, urban inflation slowed to 0.95 per cent, while rural inflation accelerated to 1.88 per cent.
Food inflation moderated annually to 11.08 per cent in November 2025 from 39.93 per cent in November 2024. Monthly food inflation rose to 1.13 per cent, driven by price increases in items such as dried tomatoes, cassava tubers, ground pepper, eggs, crayfish, egusi, oxtail, and fresh onions. Core inflation, which excludes volatile agricultural and energy prices, stood at 18.04 per cent year on year, down from 28.75 per cent in November 2024.
State-level data showed Rivers recorded the highest year-on-year inflation at 17.78 per cent, followed by Ogun at 17.65 per cent and Ekiti at 16.77 per cent. Plateau had the lowest at 9.13 per cent, alongside Kebbi at 10.32 per cent and Katsina at 10.60 per cent. The NBS cautioned that interstate comparisons should be interpreted carefully due to differing consumption patterns and CPI weights across states.
Economy
NNPCL Targets Over Two Million Barrels Per Day In 2026, Credits Community Cooperation.
The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) has set a crude oil production target of more than two million barrels per day for 2026, citing strong collaboration with pipeline host communities as a key factor in sustaining increased output.....KINDLY READ THE FULL STORY HERE▶
Akponime Omojevwhe, Head of Field Operations, Eastern Corridor, Project Monitoring Office (PMO), disclosed the projection during a monthly stakeholders’ meeting with host communities along the Trans Niger Pipeline in Port Harcourt. The meeting was organized by Pipeline Infrastructure Nigeria Limited (PINL).
Omojevwhe revealed that the 2026 national production budget is pegged at 2.80 million barrels per day (mbpd), with a starting benchmark of 1.84 mbpd and a targeted achievable output of 2.06 mbpd. He affirmed that the Trans Niger Pipeline is currently operating efficiently, attributing its success to the active cooperation between local communities, stakeholders, and PINL.
He emphasized that community participation is critical to pipeline protection, stating, “No private security structure can succeed without grassroots involvement. The communities are a vital part of this job. Their continued support ensures uninterrupted flow along the pipeline.”
Edi Julius, representing the Minister of State for Petroleum (Oil), Heineken Lokpobiri, lauded the partnership between PINL and the communities, noting that local peace is essential for boosting national oil production. “We are confident that by 2026, Nigeria will exceed two million barrels per day, generating additional revenue and enabling greater support for host communities,” he added.
Dr. Akpos Mezeh, General Manager of Community and Stakeholders’ Relations at PINL, reviewed the year’s progress, highlighting achievements such as strengthened security along the TNP corridor, expanded stakeholder engagement, empowerment programs for women and students, zero incidence of illegal bunkering, and improved community-company trust. He also announced Christmas palliatives for the 215 TNP host communities.
Responding on behalf of the host communities, His Majesty King Philip Osaro Obele urged the federal government to channel more development projects into the region. He praised PINL for its transparency and consistent engagement, emphasizing that ongoing dialogue is essential to maintaining peace along the pipeline.
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