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World Bank Predicts 3.6% Increase in Poverty Rate for Nigeria by 2027
According to the World Bank’s latest Africa’s Pulse report, Nigeria’s economic outlook is dimming, with projections indicating a 3.6 percentage point increase in the poverty rate by 2027. The findings were unveiled during the Spring Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank in Washington, D.C.....KINDLY READ THE FULL STORY HERE▶
The report identifies Nigeria’s overdependence on oil, persistent economic instability, and governance deficiencies as major factors obstructing effective poverty reduction. It also classifies Nigeria, alongside the Democratic Republic of Congo, as a resource-rich yet fragile nation where poverty is expected to rise despite economic activity in sectors outside oil.
While Nigeria’s non-oil economy recorded moderate growth in the final quarter of 2024, the World Bank warns that these gains may not benefit the wider population due to entrenched fiscal weaknesses and institutional inefficiencies.
Sub-Saharan Africa, home to the world’s poorest populations, hosted about 80% of the global total of 695 million extremely poor individuals in 2024. In this region, four countries—including Nigeria—account for half of the 560 million people living in extreme poverty.
Comparatively, other global regions report far lower concentrations of extreme poverty: South Asia (8%), East Asia and the Pacific (2%), the Middle East and North Africa (5%), and Latin America and the Caribbean (3%).
The report attributes this trend in Nigeria to declining oil revenues and fragile governance frameworks. It notes a common pattern where countries with abundant natural resources and political instability suffer the highest poverty rates—reaching an average of 46% in 2024, which is 13 percentage points higher than more stable, resource-rich economies.
Interestingly, African nations without significant natural resource wealth are experiencing stronger growth and more rapid poverty reduction. This success is largely driven by favorable agricultural commodity prices and sounder fiscal policies.
To reverse Nigeria’s trajectory, the World Bank calls for urgent economic reforms focused on inclusive growth, enhanced fiscal discipline, and improved transparency. The institution emphasizes the need for Nigeria to build a stronger social contract with its citizens and invest in long-term strategies that can sustainably reduce poverty.
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